(This story appears on the Nov. 7, 2011 cover of Forbes.)
Here’s that rare Steve Jobs story, one that’s never been told, about the company that got away. Jobs had been tracking a young software developer named Drew Houston, who blasted his way onto Apple’s radar screen when he reverse-engineered Apple’s file system so that his startup’s logo, an unfolding box, appeared elegantly tucked inside. Not even an Apple SWAT team had been able to do that.
In December 2009 Jobs beckoned Houston (pronounced like the New York City street, not the Texas city) and his partner, Arash Ferdowsi, for a meeting at his Cupertino office. “I mean, Steve friggin’ Jobs,” remembers Houston, now 28. “How do you even prepare for that?” When Houston whipped out his laptop for a demo, Jobs, in his signature jeans and black turtleneck, coolly waved him away: “I know what you do.”
What Houston does is Dropbox, the digital storage service that has surged to 50 million users, with another joining every second. Jobs presciently saw this sapling as a strategic asset for Apple. Houston cut Jobs’ pitch short: He was determined to build a big company, he said, and wasn’t selling, no matter the status of the bidder (Houston considered Jobs his hero) or the prospects of a nine-digit price (he and Ferdowsi drove to the meeting in a Zipcar Prius).
Jobs smiled warmly as he told them he was going after their market. “He said we were a feature, not a product,” says Houston. Courteously, Jobs spent the next half hour waxing on over tea about his return to Apple, and why not to trust investors, as the duo—or more accurately, Houston, who plays Penn to Ferdowsi’s mute Teller—peppered him with questions.
When Jobs later followed up with a suggestion to meet at Dropbox’s San Francisco office, Houston proposed that they instead meet in Silicon Valley. “Why let the enemy get a taste?” he now shrugs cockily. Instead, Jobs went dark on the subject, resurfacing only this June, at his final keynote speech, where he unveiled iCloud, and specifically knocked Dropbox as a half-attempt to solve the Internet’s messiest dilemma: How do you get all your files, from all your devices, into one place?
Houston’s reaction was less cocky: “Oh, s–t.” The next day he shot a missive to his staff: “We have one of the fastest-growing companies in the world,” it began. Then it featured a list of one-time meteors that fell to Earth: MySpace, Netscape, Palm, Yahoo.
Dropbox’s ascent has been just as stunning. The 50-million-user figure is up threefold from a year ago, and it has solved the “freemium” riddle, with revenue on track to hit $240 million in 2011 despite the fact that 96% of those users pay nothing. With only 70 staffers, mostly engineers, Dropbox grosses nearly three times more per employee than even the darling of business models, Google. Houston claims it’s already profitable but won’t reveal margins.
It’s only going to get better. That 96% of nonpaying customers is throwing their stuff into Dropbox at such a pace that thousands of people each day blow through the free 2 gigabytes of storage, and upgrade to 50 gigs for $10 a month or 100 gigs for $20. Even if Houston doesn’t sign up a single customer in 2012, his sales will double. As we go over this math Houston pauses to garnish this lovely inevitability: “But we will sign up many, many customers.”
Comments
Smashing piece. Reads like a movie script follow up to The Social Network.
Except in this case it doesn’t sound like he ripped off his employers and screwed over his friends.
trust me i felt the same,…expecting a movie like A social Network soon..
something like… A Dropbox Story
Three cheers for Houston for doing what Apple and Google haven’t been able to yet. I wonder how long it will before iCloud’ing will be a verb. Let’s hope Dropbox doesn’t get buried by the giants. …They’ll have to keep up or get “Dropboxed.”
I prefer CONNECT over DropBox. It works right from my PC so I don’t have to upload my files to the cloud. Unlimited space and converts all my files on the fly. www.singleclickconnect.com
Fantastic success story. Their service isn’t nearly as attractive as Ubuntu One’s, but they’ve nailed simplicity and popularity.
great article but I don’t agree that Netscape was a one-time meteor. Without Netscape there is no Dropbox.
Interesting story, but, can they fend-off the Goliaths, Google and Apple in time?
Plus box.net
Yes, Box.net is a real competitor going after business users. Dropbox is meanwhile beefing up its newish Teams group to more proactively seek out businesses. Still though, they’re doing no outbound calling on that front.
Also – they know exactly which company’s employees are using Dropbox the most – a salesperson’s dream target list. Great piece and its so nice to see good guys making it happen.
Dropbox will be able to hold them off, at least in the next few years. It is cross platform unlike Apple’s version and is much simpler with desktop integration that Google lacks. I am a big Apple fan and use iCloud but Dropbox is much simpler in getting something off my iPhone onto my Mac or vice versa.
It’s going to be tough competing against iCloud and Amazon’s Cloud service especially if they have built in advantages of getting customers.
Box.net is also a major threat with its free 50GB offer. At the end of the day, Steve Jobs may be right. Cloud service is a feature, not a product. This could be a commodity integrated feature where there is little profit except for the big players like Apple, Google, Amazon.com
My favorite.
Yeah but iCloud is free and this thing costs $99 per person per year (I think). iCloud syncs all files and apple inherently holds an advantage in that regard (they can make their software correctly work with iCloud).
I give it 1-2 years. Houston and company should unload and run to the bank. Don’t forget the 1999 when no one thought the endless valuations would end. Then recall summer of 2000.
Well Said!
No, can’t you read? It’s free for 96% of users, 10 bucks to upgrade to way more, and 20 bucks to upgrade even farther. Still way cheap, and to use iCloud you have to overpay for apple products already.